Ignoring Trump still might be the best option…

April 20, 2019

Way back, I think when Donald Trump was just beginning his presidency and it already seemed outrageous, I wrote that the best thing Republicans and Democrats could do is essentially ignore him (as much as possible) and go about their business.

I almost think that might apply today.

Surely, behind their mask of acceptance, most or at least a strong number of Republicans do not like a lot of things he is doing or the way he approaches matters — his uncivil behavior and breaking of all norms of democracy and decency and tradition. On the other hand they like some of the policies such as a more laissez-fair approach on business and a weakening of health and safety and environmental regulations and enforcement and a tax structure that seems to favor business over working people. So they put up with his despicable behavior. I did not say “deplorable” since that word got Hillary into trouble, but really it would fit in this case. I mean Trump is deplorable but all who support him are not necessarily so.

Sometimes I think they just revel in the fact that he is (deplorable). He socks it to all those high-minded progressives who live in their protected compounds, safe from the mob, and blurts out bigoted rants that they feel might get them into trouble in this new “politically correct” environment — I mean you can even get busted for saying the N-word, imagine, yet in the bizarre reasoning of those high-minded folks it is ok for minorities to use the word (I began this paragraph as satire and ended it basically in reality — is that like real life imitating art? I don’t know).

But here is something the Democrats (and Republicans) could do in the wake of the revelations or maybe I should say confirmations in the Mueller Report on Trump’s weird and questionable dealings with a foreign adversary and his efforts to impede investigations by the Justice Department, they could hold hearings, yes, by all means do so. But at the same time they could actually go about the business of governing or legislating. They could deal with the refugee problem at the Mexican border that has flared up as the result of the strife and violence and ongoing gang and drug warfare, primarily in Central and South America. They could continue to fine-tune Obamacare.

(I realize that the Republicans still control the senate but politics is often called the art of compromise.)

Lately I have read reports that there is even a crack in that façade of acceptance of Trump in the Republican-controlled senate. Yes don’t be afraid Republican senators. Do what you think is right. When you agree with Trump go along with him, but when you do not just don’t. You don’t need to make a big deal out of it or confront the bully head-on in a war of words you can’t win. No one can win an argument with Trump because he is like a little kid who lashes back: “I know you are but what am I”? or, “well, you’re ugly and stupid” (stick out the tongue and say “neener, neener”). Or he insults your wife.

I think Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell had the right idea at the beginning of Trump’s presidential term when Trump began or continued from the campaign his absurd contention that Mexico would pay for a wall at the border. Asked if that were true, McConnell answered: “Uh, no”. Enough said.

In short, Trump should be treated like the crazy uncle who lives upstairs.

(I also realize that those Republican legislators who disagree with Trump are afraid to speak up for fear of getting primaried out in their own districts — hey if you are scared of that senator or congressman maybe you have not done your homework with the people you were put in there to represent.)

The only danger here is what happens if the nation faces a real emergency. Checking my memory, I don’t think Trump has been really tested on such as most presidents wind up being. And I did not say they all have handled it well.

Early on Trump ordered an air strike on a Syrian air base aimed at retaliation for and as an impediment to Syria’s use of chemical weapons. It was thought initially that was his bold move. But it had like zero effect and was not followed up. And that is not necessarily a criticism of Trump, just an observation that it was not the test it was thought to be.

Maybe defusing tensions with North Korea, whose crazy murderous tyrant was conducting nuclear missile tests to demonstrate the capability to hit the U.S. within minutes, was Trump’s crisis. He first tried threatening back with words and then he flew half way around the world to praise the young man. We have not been blown up yet so one for Trump maybe. I had thought it better to say little but keep our defenses up and explore all options behind the scenes as to what to do to eliminate the threat. But what do I know? Now we have elevated the tyrant of one of the world’s poorest countries — where the leader lives in luxury while his countrymen starve — to international status.

We hope a real or another test never comes. But if it does, one wonders. Trump does not even have the support or control within his own White House, as evidenced by Mueller, and he has poisoned relations with our allies.

But it appears as of now that he is in the White House to stay the term and quite possibly another if the Democrats cannot get their act together.

Impeachment is an option but only if congress sees a call for it among the people at large, and that is as it should be.

Elections have consequences, and we are dealing with them.

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To me, working with a foreign government to get elected president of the U.S. is treason…

April 19, 2019

Someone pointed out or maybe I should say reminded me that then presidential candidate Donald Trump’s campaign’s dealings with the Russians to get elected president of the United States is the issue irrespective of whether a crime or crimes were committed.

And that is not to say that laws were not broken.

But the very idea that the Russians would work to plant their own favorite candidate in the White House and that knowing what the Russians were up to that the candidate and his campaign would work with them smacks of treason to me.

Remember Barack Obama’s first election? He was castigated by Republicans for suggesting that he would sit down with the leader of our arch-enemy Iran. And here we have the Republican candidate and now president working hand in hand with the Russians.

I realize that the actual extent of the collusion (which by the way is a tricky word I’ll try to get back to) is in question. But even Attorney General William Barr who sought to play down the Mueller report before releasing it to the pubic acknowledged that the Russians did indeed run a full court press aimed at getting Trump elected president. The Mueller report indicates the Trump campaign and Trump himself were more than glad to accept the help.

In the interests of fairness I will interject here that as I understand it Trump’s 2016 challenger Hillary Clinton or her campaign tried to get dirt on Trump via some shadowy organization who claimed to have a damaging tape of him with Russian prostitutes in a Moscow hotel. This is pretty convoluted but somehow talk of all this eventually led federal investigators (then in the Obama administration) to look into the ties between candidate Trump and the Russians. So you have federal investigators in a Democratic administration investigating a Republican presidential candidate. Sounds like the way they would do things in Russia. But to be fair again, Mrs. Clinton, the Democratic candidate, was also investigated for improper use of email in handling sensitive to secret government information or documents. And she may have lost the election due to comments by an overzealous and indiscreet FBI director (investigators have no business doubling as prosecutors and jurists). Trump eventually fired him, albeit for the wrong reason, but he should have been canned by Obama I think.

And that “collusion” word. It became the word almost everyone used to describe the cooperation between Trump and the Russians. But it is something like a red herring or straw man. Trump defenders love to point out that there is no such federal crime as “collusion”. No, but there are crimes associated with working with foreign agents to subvert our elections. And as I have already stated, what Trump and his campaign did is wrong regardless of whether they can be charged with a crime. And I think it is treason.

The Mueller report makes it clear that Trump took many steps to hinder the Russia investigation. It seems clear he obstructed justice, many times. But lawyers like to put things in little boxes and they apparently disagreed on whether all the little boxes had been filled, so there was no recommendation on charging Trump with obstruction of justice — even though he did — go figure.

I’m way under the weather today but that just means I am not working at my regular job (and I was taking time off and got sick, my luck), so I will have time to pore over the Mueller report and probably more the analyses of it and will post something later.

But as I stated in my previous post, it is up to the American people to decide what they think of all of this. I think up till now polling has shown the nation fairly well evenly divided on their support of Trump — I’m not much of a poll follower, though. Whether this will deeply erode his following I am curious to see. I would think it does not bode well for his re-election.

He already has a primary challenge by former Massachusetts governor William Weld. History shows that when an incumbent president has a primary challenge, even when the challenge is unsuccessful, the incumbent goes on to lose in the general election.

On the other hand, the Democrats have a penchant for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory (as the mixed-up metaphor goes).

p.s.

I recall that during the Cold War with the Soviet Union, during our presidential elections they sometimes announced their preference for one of our candidates. The hapless candidate had no say in the matter and it was likely just a trick by the Soviets to confuse things. But the Trump campaign and the subsequent administration, especially the president, seems awed by and ever so trusting of the current Russian leader.

And then one has to consider that the U.S. has run covert operations in other nations to subvert elections (but since they are covert, we just pretend it never happened). But our defense would be, if we were forced to admit the sin, that it was all in the interests of promoting democracy — Jeez, why is nothing ever just black and white?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Mueller Report release result: it’s up to the public as it should be…

April 18, 2019

Note: before I could complete this post juicy tidbits on the just-publicly released Mueller report have come out and I have not had a chance to read them in full — I’m just noting.


By the time the 400-plus page Mueller report is analyzed — it was just released to the congress and public this morning (4-18-19) with some redactions — and reported on, thanks to the continued denials by the president of any wrong doing and the continued claim that the report, which up until today was secret, exonerates him (not true I think but I have not read it), what will change?

Those who think that he did something wrong will continue to think so and those who do not, or support him for political reasons despite anything else, will continue to think or act the way they do (maybe) and the rest will have all been too tired of the convoluted course of events to pay much attention.

Congressional committees are supposed to also get a un-redacted version some time in the near future, I think it was said.

The redactions supposedly are required by law but one has to also suppose that they are meant to avoid political embarrassment.

No we don’t want to give away secrets that would threaten our defense or hinder investigating tactics and we don’t want to unnecessarily malign the reputations of people investigated and interviewed who are innocent, but other than that certainly the public needs to have access to the whole thing.

The report was compiled by special counsel Robert Mueller, who was supposedly independent of the normal chain of command so as to avoid having someone with ties to the White House deciding on evidence of guilt of the president and his associates.

But all this summarizing by the Attorney General of what the report says before the actual report was actually released seems just a tactic to misdirect and mislead and get out ahead of possible bad news.

And the big theme of news commentators and legal experts this morning is how Attorney General William Barr often described as a respected straight shooter had become nothing but a defender of Trump rather than an attorney general representing the nation’s justice system in the interests of the public.

(Since the attorney general is a member of the presidential cabinet that must be a tricky thing to pull off. Jeff Sessions tried it but was essentially kicked out for doing the right thing by recusing himself from the Russia investigation over a conflict of interest. Some of his own actions were part of the Russia investigation.)

While there may have been inaccurate reports or overly-done pieces concerning the Trump election campaign’s work with the Russians, any reasonable person has to conclude that the Trump campaign did in some way work with and take advantage of the eagerness of the Russians to get him elected.

And even Barr today said that the Mueller Report shows an active effort by the Russians to interfere in the U.S. presidential election.

It is also well known that Trump fired former FBI director James Comey because he would not shut down the Russian investigation (Trump admitted it, denied it, admitted it, not necessarily in that order) and did so many other things to stifle the investigation, such as continually calling it illegal and a witch hunt. A reasonable observation, if not a strictly legally-based one, would lead one to say the president tried to obstruct justice.

But Barr before the release of the report has maintained there was not enough evidence to charge obstruction and said the Mueller report did not make a recommendation on that.

It has been brought out that the Trump campaign did indeed meet with the Russians many times. Exactly what all took place is not so clear. But the Trump associates must have something to hide because so many of them lied to the FBI and many are now serving prison time for doing so.

I have to admit this tactic or use by the FBI of a law that makes it a crime to lie to federal investigators rather than going after the actual underlying crime is somewhat troublesome to me.

Lesson: questioned by the feds: keep your mouth shut. Even if you are innocent you might somehow describe things inaccurately and then be charged with lying.

But why did the Trump associates lie?

One commentator who said she has spent her whole career in politics said that when your case is weak you just repeat a claim over and over again. In this case, Trump’s never-ending refrain: “there was no collusion”. Why does he have to say it so often? Shakespeare might say: he doth protest too much.

After the end of a press conference by Attorney General Barr on the release of the Mueller report this morning, Trump at a disabled veterans function proclaimed that “no collusion and no obstruction of justice” was “good news” to him. And this is still before anyone in the congress or wider public had a chance to read the report.

(Again, just saturate the air with that claim of nothing here folks, move on.)

So, today and in the succeeding days finally we have a chance to see what is in there. Few of us will read it. I might try to read some (I’m a little under the weather right now, I have to make my bed, I have other excuses, the dog ate it, except I don’t have a dog). Most of the public will depend upon the analyses or description or summary of news reports or just ignore the whole thing.

And the one bright spot in our democracy is that the public will have the last say. If enough people are convinced that there was wrongdoing it could result in impeachment of the president or his not being re-elected. If a strong enough case is not made of malfeasance in office he survives.

Also what we have here is a mixture of a political struggle and an attempt at law enforcement. There is no way around this except the check by informed citizens — those who want to be informed.

Happy reading (if you do).

p.s.

Trump and associates have tried to degrade the investigation into their activities by claiming it was an illegal action by the FBI and others who did not want him to be elected. What does need more attention is what actually sparked the Russia investigation. There is documented and publicly reported information that at least a couple of investigators traded emails indicating that they did not want Trump elected. I don’t know if that ruins the whole thing, but it is worrisome. But history shows the FBI does not have a history of being impartial or neutral. If you are too young or unaware, read up on former FBI director J. Edgar Hoover.


Bernie Sanders appeals to Trump voters and more…

April 17, 2019

Could Bernie Sanders be the Donald Trump of 2020?

He might be a curmudgeon or grumpy old man but he is not as mean-spirited as Trump and not a bully, as far as I have ever seen.

But he just got rave reviews on a town hall in Pennsylvania on Fox News, heretofore essentially Trump’s personal network. And Trump is reportedly not happy at what he sees as a betrayal by Fox.

And before I go further I have to say that is the problem with the state of much of our journalism today. It has been taken over by partisans. A legitimate news organization should not be for one candidate or the other, although they of course could present commentators who outside the normal news reporting do analyses and opinion. But the way news is presented today on cable and on text on the internet (which has taken over traditional paper newspapers with straight news columns) opinion is so mixed with news that it is hard to decipher facts from opinion.

But back to Bernie:

He is in the lead among the plethora of Democratic candidates, announced and not yet announced in the various measures pollsters take, such as campaign contributions and internet hits. And he leads in small contributions too, supposedly suggesting he has wider appeal among the masses.

The great paradox back in 2016 and now leading up to the 2020 presidential primary and then election is that both Trump and Bernie (I just like writing Bernie in place of Sanders) despite appearing as political opposites often appear to appeal to the same base: generally referred to as “working class disenchanted whites”. I mean Trump appeals to conservatives and reactionaries and folks generally classified as being right wing in politics (political terms can be confusing and wholly inaccurate) and Bernie is seen far out on the left with “liberals” (another confusing term I won’t go into now). Bernie is not even a true Democratic Party member — he is an avowed socialist who just works with the Democrats (and never mind those on the right or all Republicans always call all Democrats socialists, even though that is certainly not so).

Back in the 2016 campaign I think even Trump gave a nod to Bernie, hoping I am sure to scoop up his voters.

Now Bernie may be old and cranky and a socialist to boot — seemingly out of step with our traditions of government — but he has long experience in Washington and one would expect as president would more follow conventional norms and protocols as president. And despite being on the left, he does not embrace all the causes of the far left that is seen as threatening to take over the Democratic Party from more traditional centrists or left of center folks. In short, he would seem not to be as erratic and scary as Trump.

Apparently both Trump and Bernie put themselves up as representing the people not the establishment in power who they would tell you care more about helping each other than the people that they are supposed to represent.

But I am not singing the praises of Bernie. I see him as impractical, if not as wild, as Trump.

Given the choice I imagine I would have to vote for Bernie over Trump, or sit it out.

Trump governs, if you can call it that, by chaos and bigoted methods and in a dictatorial manner. He uses naked threats as his method of political pressure.

Bernie I think is too tied to the notion of socialism as a cure for all that ails our society. He looks I think to the European democratic socialist model (as opposed to authoritarian regimes such as the old Soviet Union or Communist China of today).

But at least Bernie sees change effected in a democratic (small d) way, not by armed revolution or sweeping overnight overhauls of policy. At least I think he has indicated that.

What Bernie, or Mr. Sanders if you will, may not appreciate is that this is not Europe or Scandinavia. We have developed a unique culture and economy of our own, influenced by the blending of a diverse immigrant culture and the promise (more of a goal than fact) of unlimited upward mobility. And while socialism has worked well in Europe, all is not well. Look at the yellow vest unrest in France.

But the intriguing question now is if that mysterious base that put Trump in the White House will turn its support to Bernie.

It’s easy to promise, not nearly as easy to deliver, even when you are Donald Trump.

And yes I know the economic indicators are favorable to Trump. But like I have stated here previously in different ways voters tend to look at their own personal economics.

One scenario I could see is that traditional Republican voters turned off by Trump either sit the election out or even vote for Bernie.

And Bernie, despite being an old guy, at 78, had and I presume has wide appeal among younger voters. The wise and/or feisty old man with a new message rather than the same old same old.

Yeah, Bernie could do it I suppose.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Despite the fire at Notre Dame, we’ll always have Paris, I would hope…

April 17, 2019

As Humphrey Bogart famously said to Ingrid Bergman in the movie Casa Blanca: “We’ll always have Paris”.

But the bad news is that a major fire Monday roared through one of the city’s most iconic and treasured places, the cathedral of Notre Dame (which, by the way, means Our Lady).

The Good news is that much, or most, of it was saved along with many, not all, of the works of art and other treasures in it including what is supposed to be the famous Crown of Thorns Jesus wore at his crucifixion.

So much history has taken place at Notre Dame. Napoleon Bonaparte was crowned emperor there in 1804.

And the government of France has vowed to rebuild. And promises of financial donations have come in from sources in France, and around the world, I have heard.

It was a tragic loss not just for the people of Paris or France but the whole world.

And I’m writing like I know something about Paris. Not really. I mean I always have wanted to visit there — and now wished I had before the fire.

But maybe this will strengthen my resolve to see the city and all its wonders.

Having been born (albeit not raised) in a grand city of the world myself, San Francisco, I am aware of the allure of a beautiful cosmopolitan city.

So Paris has suffered a major loss. But it will rebuild. I understand Notre Dame, whose construction was completed in 1345, has undergone various transformations and has suffered major damages over the centuries.

The San Francisco I lived in, well that is until I was just about four (in 1953), is not the same as the one I remember both from my early childhood and when we would return there for visits throughout my growing up years. And of course much of it was rebuilt after the great earthquake and fire of 1906. Okay, what does that have to do with Paris? I don’t know, except change is ever present, but the allure, the magic, the enticement, the history, the grandeur of Paris will live on.

And again, I know little about Paris, but from what I have read about the French (and I have much French blood in me), they respect the past and their nation’s special place in culture and will do what is necessary to maintain whatever it is that makes Paris, Paris.

(I have sometimes wondered about my own San Francisco. Too many people have done things to change it, and not for the better. But even so it is still a world treasure of a city.)

The Notre Dame cathedral was undergoing renovation work at the time of the fire but as of this writing no cause of the blaze has been pinpointed or announced.

Notre Dame is at the center of the city. It’s definitely a place where all the tourists go but there is plenty of open space around it in which to stroll, my sister, who has been there two times, tells me. Indeed I just read that it draws about 13 million visitors per year. Don’t know the status of everything now for getting around there of course.

One of my brothers said that the first thing he thinks of when he thinks of Paris is Notre Dame.

I, having never been there, think of the Eifel Tower.

My mother went to Paris once and told me what she liked most was the architecture.

The very name Paris is synonymous with art and culture.

Oh, and not only do I picture the Eiffel Tower, and now Notre Dame, that was and that hopefully will be restored to its full splendor, but I think also of a marvelous collection of black and white photos (the art of black and white sometimes beats color) of the people and characters and neighborhoods of Paris, mostly right after World War II and into the 1950s taken by photographer Robert Doisneau. The collection, in a book I purchased several years ago, so intrigues me that even though I know I would not see many of the things quite as they were at the time, nor the wonderful characters, I would still love to go there and get the vibe I do from the photos in the book.

We’ll always have Paris, tell me we will. I need to go there.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Still looking for the centrist for the 2020 presidential race, how ’bout the gay guy?

April 15, 2019

Who would have thought? A homosexual has zoomed up to third place in some polls among Democratic Party presidential hopefuls. And like in that old Seinfeld episode, I feel compelled to add: “not that there is anything wrong with that”.

In fact, there could be almost everything right about it. This man is described as being either “moderate” or essentially non-ideological in his politics. And despite the fact some evangelicals decry the evils of homosexuality, this man claims to be just as much Christian as any evangelical. How can it be wrong to be gay? God made him and God does not make mistakes. That’s the case he takes to the religious right.

(I think most people by observation and perhaps knowledge of members of their own family will conclude that gayness is something people are born with, not a bad habit picked up somewhere. And still, that does not mean we are all comfortable with it.)

And now within the past 24 hours of writing this, the man, South Bend, Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg (Bootijudge), 37, has officially announced his candidacy (he was really already in the race).

He has taken ownership of the nickname “Mayor Pete”, easier to say for many than his last name.

Buttigieg is articulate and seems adept at pleasing the crowds.

Former vice president and former U.S. senator from Delaware Joe Biden, 76, who still has not declared his candidacy while strongly implying he is in the race, is still in the lead last time I checked.

Joe probably can shake off the accusations of unwanted familiarity with women not his wife — hair sniffing, hugs, wet kissing on the neck and Eskimo-style kissing (nose rubbing), because most see them as Joe being innocent touchy-feely Joe. I personally think he should have known better and certainly must train himself to be a bit more reserved — you have to respect everyone’s space, to not do so is at best seen as condescending. And that is not to say that all of the women subject to his mannerisms have taken offense.

I heard Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, a Republican contender in the last GOP presidential primary, say that Biden is just that kind of guy (with men too, well hopefully not the hair sniffing and kissing), a back slapper and so on.

I like California U.S. Sen. (Democrat) Diane Feinstein’s take on Biden’s familiarity: “it’s not sexy”, it’s just his tactile approach.

And I touched on “hopefully it is not kissing” — contact with other men.  Mayor Pete is openly homosexual and his husband campaigns with him I have read. Society, as a  whole, has become way more accepting of what we term as “gay” (a word whose other meaning, happy, has been lost since I left high school. I remember headlines in the hometown paper talking of people having a “gay” time and I am sure the reference was not to sexual orientation).

Wonders of wonders, Buttigieg, is getting great press and seemingly some respect even from Republicans — I did not say support, I just meant perhaps grudging or cautious respect. The man is well spoken and comes across as highly intelligent (much more so than your average candidate) and down to earth all at the same time.

(I caution: it’s early. By the time this is all over there is bound to be much dirt or mud thrown his way. And although he came out of the closet, we might find there are things still in there. Opposition research is always ongoing.)

It has been suggested some opponents might tout him thinking he would be easy to beat (seems like a dangerous tactic, though).

In our politically correct and tolerant society (well a portion of it is) we walk carefully around the subject of homosexuality or gayness, and perhaps that is good. I recall a Seinfeld episode in which I believe something Jerry or George or both did was misinterpreted as gay and all through the episode he and George were proclaiming that they were in fact NOT GAY, always adding the obligatory line: “not that there is anything wrong with that”.

The point: A gay candidate has a major obstacle in the presidential race because people while claiming not to see “anything wrong with that” must be a little wary if they go out of their way to assure folks they are not gay themselves (and I know that was just a Seinfeld episode, but I think it mirrors real life in that sense).

This could be the election that changes it all. People might be looking for someone smart (actually smart, not just rich or self-proclaimed smart), and someone more middle of the road with a steady hand and actual reasoned-out positions on matters or an ability to reason. Right now Mayor Pete is known for not stating clear positions on many things.

(And I say why would any candidate worth his or her salt want to back themselves into a corner?)

Mayor Pete is a lieutenant in the Naval Reserve and has served in the Afghanistan combat zone.

Personally I am no war hawk but I think combat zone experience might come in handy when up against chicken hawks such as, you know who.

But could this, 2020, be the election that finally puts a woman in charge, as president of the United States? It seems odd to me that we have not already had a woman president or several of them. Other nations have had or have women leaders and history is replete with queens (not a gay reference).

Right now I’m seeing Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, 58, as a good possibility. She comes across as level-headed and articulate and middle of the road, although embracing some Democratic policies that are seen as leftist. She is a Midwesterner, thus giving here appeal to a wider swath of the nation, possibly.

Klobuchar has been subjected to some negative publicity on her toughness on staff. First of all I don’t really care since I am not going to work for her, and second of all, don’t men often get credit if they are tough task masters? I might be concerned if I could get out of all of it that she places the blame on others for her own mistakes or that she is unreasonable — just don’t know and probably won’t.

Kamala Harris, 54, junior Senator from California, is up there in the polls — ahead of Klobuchar. But I am wondering if she is too far to the left although she has been criticized by some on the left for being an opportunist who can veer to the right when it suits her. But that may mean that she is not frozen in an ideology that blinds her to critical thinking — at least that is my take. Harris has the advantage in what I guess is called identity politics in that she is considered a woman of color and, well, she is a woman.

Still I am searching for the true centrist who can bring back some sort of sense of stability and security in our politics and presidency.

So, I’ll continue to watch and read and study.

p.s.

Oh, and like I mentioned in my last post: the Republicans ought to try to primary Trump out. And now I  read that former Massachusetts governor Bill Weld has just announced he will run, challenging Trump, in the 2020 GOP primary.

And I would not be terribly surprised if Trump eventually dropped out, especially if legal problems got too dicey for him, with the intention of leaving it all to his vice president Mike Pence. Not a pretty thought. But I think Pence is beatable.

But then I thought Trump was beatable in 2016 as so many others did.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


The economy does not have to suffer to save us from Trump…

April 7, 2019

For those of us who have followed American politics we have to ask ourselves: did we not really understand it after all? Have things changed? Or were they really kind of that way all along?

In ironies of ironies, the undignified bully who is our president, the man who it was shown in his campaign had once bragged about molesting women (including grabbing them in their private parts, because they let guys who are celebrities do that sort of thing) has the audacity to chide and mock a prospective Democratic opponent, Joe Biden, for being touchy-feely with women (without their consent).

To the extent Donald Trump can pull this off without being laughed at or run out of town, I would just have to suppose it is because of two reasons: his die-hard supporters either don’t really care what he does and those who do not like what he does, but still support him do so because he is the Republican place-holder in the oval office — as long as he is there a Democrat will not be.

And then is this a third reason? The economy. As long as people feel that the economy is good, many are wont to rock the boat, be they Republican or Democrat or whatever.

I wrote “as long as people ‘feel’ that the economy is good”. There are stock market reports and GDP and employment statistics and various measures — and I will stipulate that the economy is pretty darn good right about now. But in my lifetime my own personal economy has not always followed the official story. And I think that is such with most people. You can be down and out in a rip-roaring economy and you can be doing well or even prosper in a recession or depression. If all politics is local then the economy tends to be personal. Don’t know if that makes sense to you but it does to me.

But like I say, let’s just stipulate that the economy is good. But is the economy really everything we need in a president? Does the president even have so much control over the economy after all?

Certainly in Trump’s case pushing through a tax cut that seems to have favored the rich and/or business interests no doubt helped stimulate the economy, even as some of his moves on trade, such as starting a trade war with raising tariffs (as if he had never read the history of the 1920s that resulted in the Great Depression of the 1930s) have hurt or threaten certain segments of industry.

Bill Clinton, a Democrat, left office after two terms and a booming economy. But that was not enough to get his vice president promoted to the top spot.

George H. Bush, our first Master of Business Administration president, came in and served two terms and left the economy in a shambles in the worst recession since the Great Depression. Was it all his fault? I doubt it was really. But his big mistake I thought was rescuing the too-big-to-fail banks who were among the biggest culprits (it could happen all over). The irony of the GOP rescuing people who were profligate with money.

The economy actually got better and better under Democrat Barack Obama but he was not given credit for it.

I have to admit, and I can’t recall if this coincides exactly with Trump’s first term, but at least for the last two years I have noticed a phenomenon never seen in my lifetime (69 1/2 years — or let’s say 59 since I may not have paid attention before that): help wanted signs everywhere.

But let’s just say that Trump passes the economy test for now.

But what about foreign policy and America’s image in the world? I was often embarrassed by the seeming ignorance of George H. Bush but it was not a mean-spirited ignorance. Trump is willfully ignorant. That is to say he does not posses the necessary knowledge or worse yet the necessary curiosity to understand the world at large and American’s place in it, or for that matter he does not understand America itself. He is totally inward, a spoiled rich boy, whose only real skill, and I guess it is a skill, is one of a bamboozler. In real estate as far as I can see he was able to get other people to invest money and then reap the rewards the best he could only to declare bankruptcy and leave the other folks hanging. He has even bragged that he used the bankruptcy courts to his advantage — he declared such is perfectly right. That is not my understanding of bankruptcy.

Trump used that skill to bamboozle disaffected segments of the populace, most notably lower middle class whites, at least as the story goes, to game the Electoral College (and legally it seems) to win the presidency without gaining the most votes.

He projects an image of hate and derision to minorities and other countries and peoples. While he may at times hit on some legitimate complaints we as a nation should have against others — the tone he uses is by no means helpful. Even if it were to get some positive reactions in the short-run — NATO countries shouldering more of the defense burden, Mexico working closer with the U.S. on border and migration issues, it creates bad memories that will no doubt come back to haunt us. The Teddy Roosevelt approach is more prudent: speak softly but carry a big stick. And Teddy was a Republican. A progressive Republican (that element died out I guess).

And health care. Why does Trump and the Republican Party for that matter want to kill Obamacare but offer no alternative? Die-hard Republicans can never accept something run by the government designed to help all people. To them government is there to help business and private fortunes and to simply officially keep track of who owns what. Well, except when something becomes institutionalized such as Social Security — they know their own base would draw the line there. I guess they don’t want Obamacare to become institutionalized. They may be too late.

At my age and my own personal position I don’t think I have a stake in Obamacare as such but I would hate to see it scrapped with no workable alternative.

Does every one of us have a right to health care? I Think in this day and age, yes. Plus we do as long as we the voters say we do. Common decency and practicality point us in that direction. As humans we don’t let our own kind wither and die without attending to them and trying to save them. Beyond that a healthy populace helps us all.

How do we provide health care for all? I would suggest — Obamacare not withstanding — we expand Medicare to the “medicare for all” level or something close to that, but preserve private insurance for those who prefer it or can afford it, which would mean Medicare would not be so all-inclusive, so the incentive to individuals would be to take part in the free market (but that market has to be regulated, otherwise people will be cheated on a big scale by polices that turn out to not cover sufficiently what people thought they would, and it’s too late to shop around after the fact).

Or we can continue to fine-tune Obamacare. Best option at the moment.

Another thing that bothers me about Trump is his continual moves by executive order and appointments to reduce or eliminate health and safety and environmental regulations.

(He is also a climate change denier and there is no point is discussing that — you might as well argue whether the earth is flat or round or how many angels dance on the head of a pin.)

Not Trump’s fault, I don’t think (it mostly pre-dated him I believe), but the Boeing fiasco where that company was allowed to regulate itself and then wound up with a model of airliner that had faulty equipment and resulted in so many deaths is a prime example of why we need those pesky health and safety regulations. There are a lot more examples.

Trump’s worst fault is that he presents an ugly image of America and that he incites hate by his racially-tinged remarks and warlike attitudes.

Another irony is that he talks militarily tough but of course his record indicates that he was a Vietnam draft dodger whose dad apparently bought off a doctor to attest to a phony foot ailment.

Chicken hawks are the worst kind.

And his erratic behavior, his childish tweets, call into question his fitness for office and the safety of all of us when he has his finger on the nuclear trigger that could destroy the world in minutes.

But who to run against him. His own party ought to primary him out. But I guess they fear they would lose credibility and admit to their own folly by doing so.

But I have written this before: I would vote Republican if they would give me a reason to do so.

For a time it looked as Joe Biden would be the old-school Democrat who could beat Trump. But of late he seems to be falling prey to the new #Me Too order. They expect bad behavior from Republicans but will not tolerate it from Democrats. Joe’s admirers or at least those who do not outright oppose him (even Republicans) defend his actions as just his overly friendly and tactile approach. He for his part has proclaimed he is essentially born again and will try to curb his enthusiasm.

I have two feelings about good old Joe: first I never took him all that seriously in politics and second I have seen some creepy guys in action, even as a guy observing it is unnerving. I cannot know what his intentions were. Bill Clinton was rumored to have that weird approach, especially when no one was looking (poor Joe did his moves in public). Some of Biden’s contemporaries on both sides of the aisle are imploring him not to run for his own good (and probably the nation’s). They say he will be torn to shreds by the new and younger crowd, as well as the GOP hacks.

I get the impression that some of the old-guard Republicans are sad to see the move to disqualify Biden for what probably not long ago would be seen as no more than a little silly behavior. They see him being pushed out by untried and unproven light weights. One writer claimed that when Richard Nixon saw George McGovern win the Democratic nomination for president back in ’72, the guy who said he would be willing to beg North Vietnam to get our prisoners of war back, that he shook his head and uttered and expletive at how the loyal opposition had sunk so far. I’m not sure I would agree with that assessment from that time (McGovern was a decent man and a bomber pilot in World War II) but I do wish someone with real grit and worldliness and yet civility, could be found to rid us of what we have now.

I can pretty much guarantee the economy would not tumble because of it.

p.s.

I want to write more later but for now, as to other possible Democratic Party candidates, I am willing and eager to listen and give them a chance but if the eventual campaign turns out to be the incumbent vs. socialists I fear that we will not be rid of Trump. I am not against social programs but the history of socialism as a system (and it has various versions) is not on the whole good for individual freedom and upward mobility, unless I have missed something. There is the European brand of democratic socialism but it is under trial at the moment. And we are not Europe anyway.